WASHINGTON, DC — The American labor market contracted in July, shedding 23,000 jobs, a decline that coincided with a falling unemployment rate driven not by new hiring but by workers exiting the labor force entirely. This dynamic challenges the administration's assertion that domestic workers will seamlessly absorb positions held by foreign nationals targeted for removal.
The healthcare and social assistance sector, a rare bright spot in an otherwise tepid economy, added a meager 22,000 jobs, a sharp deceleration from its prior 36,000 monthly average. This slowdown directly impacts domestic workers, as the loss of direct care professionals places an uncompensated financial and logistical burden on American families.
Unpaid Care Burden Transferred to Americans
With 28% of direct care workers being foreign-born, the termination of temporary protected status for hundreds of thousands of individuals is disrupting an industry already facing a shortfall of nearly one million positions over the next decade. The resulting care gap forces native-born citizens, predominantly women, to reduce their labor force participation to manage family responsibilities. This unpaid labor, valued at an estimated $1 trillion annually, represents a massive, off-the-books cost transfer onto American households.
Even as some employers lose those workers, we're not going to be able to afford to replace them at the wages necessary. That means rationing, or more people doing unpaid care at home.
Meanwhile, state-level cuts to Medicaid, the primary payer for long-term care, compound the fiscal strain, reducing the ability to fund positions even if workers were available.
Construction Sector Contracts for Citizen Workers
The construction industry, where immigrants constitute over 26% of the workforce, is also revealing the complementarity of labor. New economic research examining increased federal enforcement actions found that areas with more ICE arrests did not see U.S.-born workers gain employment. Instead, for every six undocumented workers removed from the labor market, employment for one U.S.-born male worker was also lost. The damage was most acute in construction, where employment for native-born men with a high school diploma or less fell by 3% following enforcement surges. This suggests that project delays from labor scarcity eliminate demand for skilled trades performed by American citizens.
The macroeconomic data confirms a labor force shrinking for what analysts term "the wrong reason." The policy objective of prioritizing domestic workers is not being met when their jobs disappear alongside the targeted foreign labor force. The cost, measured in lost household income and uncompensated caregiving, is borne squarely by American workers.